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Charles Knapp's avatar

Here’s a simpler explanation. The Iranian regime is near collapse and are losing control. The U.S. and Israel hold the keys to Iran’s post-Islamic Republic future. There is nothing the IRGC can do about the U.S. counter-blockade which the IRGC brought upon itself by its deliberate breach of international law in closing a free passage waterway.

Now, just as the UK did with its blockade of Germany in WWII, the counter-blockade will continue until the Iranian regime agrees to the U.S. terms left on the table by VP Vance.

As the presumed descendants of the inventors of chess, when you are in a checkmate position, there is only one option.

Leslie Deak's avatar

This is just pure chaos in the fragmented remnents of Iran's government. As noted, Trump has all the cards and the blockade is the final turn of the screw.

Jim James's avatar

"Suddenly," the Iranians will realize that the United States is in no particular hurry to finalize, Trump's offer of negotiations this weekend being at least as much for show as anything. The longer they mess around, the closer they will come to long-term catastrophe. I am no particular Hegseth cheerleader, but he really did nail it when he said to them: "Choose wisely."