JD will also learn that a deal with the Iranians is not a deal. He may initially think that, but the deal needs further negotiations. Trump knows that and stated that recently, it is BS. He learned that in doing business; I learned that also. My friend who grew up in Persia, learned that as a kid going to the bazaar with his father.
Based on your analysis, the question is how many of the remaining IRGC leaders Israel can eliminate and what happens if almost all are eliminated? Because I agree that these negotiations will not result in anything other than JD getting a lesson in negotiating strategy he may or may not need.
You are probably right in assessing the leadership core. Also, they have created a structure where the pre-defined orders of the distributed IRGC is carried out faithfully. That structure is most likely created and manned in such a way that the individual parts do not meet and thus cannot form groups to topple the leadership.
That leads to the next question: can US / Israel take out the remaining leadership? Those people are fully aware now that position tracking through e g mobile devices is a threat. So assume they use burn phones. But even that will be trackable. And all the layers close to the top must be equally careful. That on turn will make them less effective. Their best strategy is the waiting game. The economic damage is already happening. On the other hand, for how long will the IRGC be able to control 90 million people if their economy collapses? The regular army has taken a severe beating, but so has the IRGC. The latter consists of an estimated 150.000 full time personnel and the remainder are 450.000 voluntaries spread all over in civil society.
The follow up if US / Israel manage to take out 90% of the top is how will those stepping up to fill the void act? Because one must assume somebody will step up. And how will they assert their position internally? That requires communication which in turn make them vulnerable.
And who will actually be in a position to negotiate if they so wish?
Some insightful observations. Hopefully, they were listening; however, after the fact, many of these negotiating results tell a different tale.
There is much evidence that it was never designed to succeed but created to fail. No nukes, no proxies, own the flow of oil, and, more importantly, no regime!
Allowing former IRGC commanders to lead the negotiation was an indication that the deal was going to fail and, if anything were agreed to, would be violated, since any lingering regime players left to their own devices would reconstitute and threats would just be a matter of time.
Trump is a transactional president and will have a deal that works for America… leaving any semblance of the regime in charge spells disaster—he'merely executing phase II.
Tehran seems to read divisions inside Washington as part of the negotiating terrain itself.
Once that happens, diplomacy is no longer just bargaining between states. It becomes conflict conducted through the political topology of the opposing regime.
JD will also learn that a deal with the Iranians is not a deal. He may initially think that, but the deal needs further negotiations. Trump knows that and stated that recently, it is BS. He learned that in doing business; I learned that also. My friend who grew up in Persia, learned that as a kid going to the bazaar with his father.
Based on your analysis, the question is how many of the remaining IRGC leaders Israel can eliminate and what happens if almost all are eliminated? Because I agree that these negotiations will not result in anything other than JD getting a lesson in negotiating strategy he may or may not need.
You are probably right in assessing the leadership core. Also, they have created a structure where the pre-defined orders of the distributed IRGC is carried out faithfully. That structure is most likely created and manned in such a way that the individual parts do not meet and thus cannot form groups to topple the leadership.
That leads to the next question: can US / Israel take out the remaining leadership? Those people are fully aware now that position tracking through e g mobile devices is a threat. So assume they use burn phones. But even that will be trackable. And all the layers close to the top must be equally careful. That on turn will make them less effective. Their best strategy is the waiting game. The economic damage is already happening. On the other hand, for how long will the IRGC be able to control 90 million people if their economy collapses? The regular army has taken a severe beating, but so has the IRGC. The latter consists of an estimated 150.000 full time personnel and the remainder are 450.000 voluntaries spread all over in civil society.
The follow up if US / Israel manage to take out 90% of the top is how will those stepping up to fill the void act? Because one must assume somebody will step up. And how will they assert their position internally? That requires communication which in turn make them vulnerable.
And who will actually be in a position to negotiate if they so wish?
Some insightful observations. Hopefully, they were listening; however, after the fact, many of these negotiating results tell a different tale.
There is much evidence that it was never designed to succeed but created to fail. No nukes, no proxies, own the flow of oil, and, more importantly, no regime!
Allowing former IRGC commanders to lead the negotiation was an indication that the deal was going to fail and, if anything were agreed to, would be violated, since any lingering regime players left to their own devices would reconstitute and threats would just be a matter of time.
Trump is a transactional president and will have a deal that works for America… leaving any semblance of the regime in charge spells disaster—he'merely executing phase II.
100 men?
Didn't Israel kill over 40 top men and the regime didn't budge?
Another fucking Panican. Fuck you.
Tehran seems to read divisions inside Washington as part of the negotiating terrain itself.
Once that happens, diplomacy is no longer just bargaining between states. It becomes conflict conducted through the political topology of the opposing regime.
Some choice !
Its easy to identify genocidal Zionist these days