Mehdi Parpanchi

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The Last Feather: Why the Islamic Republic May Survive the War but Not the Peace
Beyond the Battlefield Metrics: A Fundamental Analysis of a Regime in Decline
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
The Coercive Sequence: How Trump’s Iran War Actually Works
Why negotiation and war are part of the same strategy and what critics still fail to see
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
Lipstick on the IRGC: Why Ghalibaf Must Not Be Rebranded as a Pragmatist
He is not a post-Khamenei solution. He is a distilled product of the Khamenei system.
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
Weaponizing Ambiguity: How Trump’s Shadow Diplomacy May Be Fracturing the Islamic Republic
Whether the talks are real or not, the message is already spreading mistrust in Tehran and calming global oil markets.
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
Israel Is Not Just Fighting the Islamic Republic. It Is Classifying It
Why the Rules of Statehood No Longer Apply to the Islamic Republic
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
What Looks Like Resilience in Iran Is Its Collapse Plan
Why the Regime’s Visible Signs of Survival May Actually Signal System Breakdown
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
Iran’s New Leader Is a Ghost in the Machine
A written message instead of a public appearance suggests a regime acting out of fear, while the content points to more war, more control and no change…
 • Mehdi Parpanchi
A wartime succession in Iran: why the IRGC backed Mojtaba Khamenei
The Guards want a leader who can both hold the system together and decide between escalation and a climbdown.
 • Mehdi Parpanchi

February 2026

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